Our 7th Annual Oscar Ballot Contest 2024 is LIVE!
If you think you know which films, actors, directors, and creatives are going to win the gold statuettes at the 96th annual Academy Awards on March 10th, you can win a $25 gift card to your favorite movie theater OR Amazon credit to purchase your favorite flick, in our ballot contest. Every year, readers compete to see who can guess the most winners correctly and it’s always a blast!
Think you don’t know enough about the films from 2024? We have proven year-after-year that film knowledge (or having seen any films) is not a prerequisite to being successful and predicting the Oscars!
To participate in our Oscar Ballot Contest 2024, here’s what to do:
1. Submit your best guesses HERE.
2. Share the link with anyone else (especially those with whom you might want to see a movie!).
3. Follow us on social media (Facebook + Instagram) to see who won after the Oscars air on March 10. We’ll also let the winners know via email.
And now, the full list of nominees in all categories, as well as Tim’s predictions!
TIM’S PREDICTIONS, WITH SOME NOTES
Best Picture
American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
Will Win: Oppenheimer
Should Win: The Zone of Interest
Confidence: 95%
Best Director
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall
Will Win: Christopher Nolan
Should Win: Jonathan Glazer
Confidence: 95%
Best Actress
Annette Bening, Nyad
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Emma Stone, Poor Things
Will Win: Lily Gladstone
Could Win: Emma Stone
Should Win: Sandra Hüller
Confidence: 80%
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Will Win: Cillian Murphy
Could Win: Paul Giamatti
Should Win: Cillian Murphy
Confidence: 70%
Best Supporting Actress
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
America Ferrera, Barbie
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Will Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph
Should Win: In the absence of any real enthusiasm for any of these performances, I’d be a fairly indifferent Jodie Foster voter
Confidence: 90%
Best Supporting Actor
Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey, Jr, Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Will Win: Robert Downey, Jr.
Should Win: Ryan Gosling
Confidence: 90%
Best Adapted Screenplay
American Fiction (Cord Jefferson)
Barbie (Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach)
Oppenheimer (Christopher Nolan)
Poor Things (Tony McNamara)
The Zone of Interest (Jonathan Glazer)
Will Win: American Fiction
Could Win: Poor Things
Should Win: The Zone of Interest
Confidence: 55%
Best Original Screenplay
Anatomy of a Fall (Justine Triet & Arthur Harari)
The Holdovers (David Hemingson)
Maestro (Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer)
May December (Samy Burch & Alex Mechanik)
Past Lives (Celine Song)
Will Win: Anatomy of a Fall
Could Win: The Holdovers
Should Win: May December
Confidence: 50%
Best Cinematography
El Conde (Edward Lachman)
Killers of the Flower Moon (Rodrigo Prieto)
Maestro (Matthew Libatique)
Oppenheimer (Hoyte Van Hoytema)
Poor Things (Robbie Ryan)
Will Win: Oppenheimer
Could Win: Poor Things
Should Win: Oppenheimer
Confidence: 85%
Best Costume Design
Barbie (Jacqueline Durran)
Killers of the Flower Moon (Jacqueline West)
Napoleon (Janty Yates & Dave Crossman)
Oppenheimer (Ellen Mirojnick)
Poor Things (Holly Waddington)
Will Win: Poor Things
Could Win: Barbie
Should Win: Barbie
Confidence: 60%
Best Film Editing
Anatomy of a Fall (Laurent Sénéchal)
The Holdovers (Kevin Tent)
Killers of the Flower Moon (Thelma Schoonmaker)
Oppenheimer (Jennifer Lame)
Poor Things (Yorgos Mavropsaridis)
Will Win: Oppenheimer
Should Win: Oppenheimer
Confidence: 90%
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Golda
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Society of the Snow
Will Win: Maestro
Could Win: Golda
Should Win: Society of the Snow
Confidence: 90%
Best Production Design
Barbie (Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer)
Killers of the Flower Moon (Jack Fisk, Adam Willis)
Napoleon (Arthur Max, Elli Griff)
Oppenheimer (Ruth De Jong, Claire Kaufman)
Poor Things (James Price, Shona Heath, Zsuzsa Mihalek)
Will Win: Barbie
Could Win: Poor Things
Should Win: Barbie
Confidence: 60%
Best Original Score
American Fiction (Laura Karpman)
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny (John Williams)
Killers of the Flower Moon (Robbie Robertson)
Oppenheimer (Ludwig Göransson)
Poor Things (Jerskin Fendrix)
Will Win: Oppenheimer
Could Win: Killers of the Flower Moon
Should Win: Poor Things
Confidence: 80%
Best Original Song
From American Symphony: “It Never Went Away”
From Barbie: “I’m Just Ken”
From Barbie: “What Was I Made For?”
From Flamin’ Hot: “The Fire Inside”
From Killers of the Flower Moon: “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)”
Will Win: “What Was I Made For?”
Could Win: “I’m Just Ken”
Or Maybe, In the Event of Vote-Splitting: “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)”
Should Win: “The Fire Inside”, so that this grotesque charade every year of nominating songs Diane Warren writes for movies that don’t exist can come to its end
Confidence: 75%
Best Sound
The Creator
Maestro
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning, Part One
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest
Will Win: Oppenheimer
Should Win: Oppenheimer
Confidence: 85%
Best Visual Effects
The Creator
Godzilla Minus One
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning, Part One
Napoleon
Will Win: The Creator
Could Win: Godzilla Minus One
Should Win: I’d be a Godzilla voter, but I also feel like The Creator probably needs to win more, if that makes sense
Confidence: 65%
Best International Film
Io Capitano (Italy)
Perfect Days (Japan)
Society of the Snow (Spain)
The Teachers’ Lounge (Germany)
The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)
Will Win: The Zone of Interest
Should Win: The Zone of Interest
Confidence: 95%
Best Animated Feature
The Boy and the Heron
Elemental
Nimona
Robot Dreams
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Will Win: The Boy and the Heron
Could Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Should Win: The Boy and the Heron
Confidence: 50% – there’s no doubt that it’s between those two, but it’s pretty close to an exact coin flip between them, and I have gone with the unforgivably bad tiebreaker of picking the one I like better. This is IMO the hardest category of the year to predict.
Best Documentary Feature
20 Days in Mariupol
Bobi Wine: The People’s President
The Eternal Memory
Four Daughters
To Kill a Tiger
Will Win: 20 Days in Mariupol
Should Win: Four Daughters
Confidence: 90%
Best Documentary Short Subject
The ABCs of Book Banning
The Barber of Little Rock
Island in Between
The Last Repair Shop
Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó
Will Win: The Last Repair Shop
Could Win: Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó
Should Win: Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó
Confidence: 70%
Best Animated Short Film
Letter to a Pig
Ninety-Five Senses
Our Uniform
Pachyderme
War is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko
Will Win: War is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko
Could Win: Ninety-Five Senses
Should Win: Letter to a Pig
Confidence: 70% – I know that the conventional wisdom is that it’s between War Is Over! and Letter to a Pig, but Letter is my favorite of the nominees, so there’s absolutely no possibility it wins.
Best Live Action Short Film
The After
Invincible
Knight of Fortune
Red, White & Blue
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Will Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Could Win: Red, White & Blue
Should Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Confidence: 60%