The inscrutably weird awards season we’re in – in which a phenomenal year for movies is being commemorated almost solely by trophies for uninteresting awards bait – finally culminates tomorrow morning in the list of Oscar nominees. Getting in just under the wire, I offer my predictions in all categories
Best Picture
Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice
I am officially only predicting the above eight films. If there are more nominees, I would expect them to be, in this order:
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Quiet Place
Best Directing
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Or maybe:
Ryan Coogler, Black Panther
Best Actor
Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Or maybe:
John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman
Best Actress
Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Or maybe:
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Or maybe:
Sam Rockwell, Vice
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Vice
Emily Blunt, A Quiet Place
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Or maybe:
Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots
Best Adapted Screenplay
Black Panther (Ryan Coogler & Joe Robert Cole)
BlacKkKlansman (Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee)
Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty)
If Beale Street Could Talk (Barry Jenkins)
A Star Is Born (Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters)
Or maybe:
Leave No Trace (Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini)
Best Original Screenplay
Eighth Grade (Bo Burnham)
The Favourite (Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara)
Green Book (Nick Vallelonga & Brian Currie & Peter Farrelly)
Roma (Alfonso Cuarón)
Vice (Adam McKay
Or maybe:
A Quiet Place (Bryan Woods & Scott Beck and John Krasinski)
Best Cinematography
Cold War (Łukasz Żal)
The Favourite (Robbie Ryan)
First Man (Linus Sandgren)
Roma (Alfonso Cuarón)
A Star Is Born (Matthew Libatique)
Or maybe:
If Beale Street Could Talk (James Paxton)
Best Costume Design
Black Panther (Ruth E. Carter)
Bohemian Rhapsody (Julian Day)
The Favourite (Sandy Powell)
Mary Poppins Returns (Sandy Powell)
Mary Queen of Scots (Alexandra Byrne)
Or maybe:
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (Jenny Beavan)
Best Editing
BlacKkKlansman (Barry Alexander Brown)
The Favourite (Yorgos Mavropsaridis)
Green Book (Patrick J. Don Vito)
A Star Is Born (Jay Cassidy)
Vice (Hank Corwin)
Or maybe:
Bohemian Rhapsody (John Ottman)
Best Production Design
Black Panther (Hannah Beachler; Jay Hart)
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Stuart Craig; Anna Pinnock)
The Favourite (Fiona Crombie; Alice Felton)
First Man (Nathan Crowley; Kathy Lucas)
Mary Poppins Returns (John Myhre; Gordon Sim)
Or maybe:
Welcome to Marwen (Stefan Dechant; Hamish Purdy)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Bohemian Rhapsody
Suspiria
Vice
Or maybe:
Mary Queen of Scots
Best Original Score
Black Panther (Ludwig Göransson)
BlacKkKlansman (Terence Blanchard)
First Man (Justin Hurwitz)
If Beale Street Could Talk (Nicholas Britell)
Isle of Dogs (Alexandre Desplat)
Or maybe:
A Quiet Place (Marco Beltrami)
Best Original Song
Black Panther – “All the Stars”
Dumplin’ – “Girl in the Movies”
Mary Poppins Returns – “The Place Where Lost Things Go”
RBG – “I’ll Fight”
A Star Is Born – “Shallow”
Or maybe:
Mary Poppins Returns – “Trip a Little Light Fantastic”
Best Sound Editing
Black Panther
First Man
Mission: Impossible – Fallout
A Quiet Place
Roma
Or maybe:
A Star Is Born
Best Sound Mixing
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
A Quiet Place
Roma
A Star Is Born
Or maybe:
Black Panther
Best Visual Effect
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Welcome to Marwen
Or maybe:First Man
Best Foreign Language Film
Capernaum (Lebanon)
Cold War (Poland)
Never Look Away (Germany)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)
Or maybe:The Guilty (Denmark)
Best Documentary Feature
Free Solo
Minding the Gap
RBG
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
Or maybe
Of Fathers and Sons
Best Documentary, Short Subject
’63 Boycott
Black Sheep
Lifeboat
Period. End of Sentence.
Women of the Gulag
Or maybe:
Los Comandos
Best Animated Feature Film
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Or maybe:
Night Is Short, Walk On Girl
Best Animated Short Film
Age of Sail
Animal Behaviour
Bao
Bird Karma
Late Afternoon
Or maybe:
Bilby
Best Live-Action Short Film
Caroline
Chuchotage
Fauve
May Day
Wale
Or maybe:
Detainment