Should we do this thing? Let’s do this thing. It’s like the holidays: once a year you just shut up and do the done thing, for tradition’s sake. I am eschewing commentary, because of being busy, but feel free to call me out on my logic in comments.
Picture
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Nebraska
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street
I’m officially predicting only these eight. If there are up to ten, I expect them to be, in this order:
Inside Llewyn Davis
Saving Mr. Banks
Director
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Alt: Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
Actor
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Alt: Robert Redford, All Is Lost
Actress
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
Alt: Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Daniel Brühl, Rush
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Alt: Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels’ The Butler
Alt: Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
Adapted Screenplay
12 Years a Slave, by John Ridley
Before Midnight, by Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, & Richard Linklater
Captain Phillips, by Billy Ray
Philomena, by Steve Coogan & Jeff Pope
The Wolf of Wall Street, by Terence Winter)
Alt: August: Osage County, by Tracy Letts
Original Screenplay
American Hustle, by David O. Russell and Eric Singer
Blue Jasmine, by Woody Allen
Her, by Spike Jonze
Inside Llewyn Davis, by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
Nebraska, by Bob Nelson
Alt: Dallas Buyers Club, by Craig Borten and Melissa Wallack
Cinematography
12 Years a Slave (Sean Bobbitt)
Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki)
Inside Llewyn Davis (Bruno Delbonnel)
Nebraska (Phedon Papamichael)
Prisoners (Roger Deakins)
Alt: Captain Phillips (Barry Ackroyd)
Editing
12 Years a Slave (Joe Walker)
American Hustle (Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers)
Captain Phillips (Christopher Rouse)
Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger)
The Wolf of Wall Street (Thelma Schoonmaker)
Alt: Nebraska (Kevin Tent)
Production Design
12 Years a Slave (Adam Stochausen; Alice Baker)
American Hustle (Judy Becker; Heather Loeffler)
Gravity (Andy Nicholson; Rosie Goodwin)
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin; Beverly Dunn)
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (Dan Hennah; Ra Vincent)
Alt: Her (K.K. Barrett; Gene Serdena)
Costume Design
12 Years a Slave (Patricia Norris)
American Hustle (Michael Wilkinson)
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin)
Oz the Great and Powerful (Gary Jones)
Saving Mr. Banks (Daniel Orlandi)
Alt: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (Trish Summerville)
Makeup and Hairstyling
American Hustle
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger
Alt: Dallas Buyers Club
Score
12 Years a Slave (Hans Zimmer)
The Book Thief (John Williams)
Gravity (Steven Price)
Rush (Hans Zimmer)
Saving Mr. Banks (Thomas Newman)
Alt: Philomena (Alexandre Desplat)
Song
From August: Osage County: “Last Mile Home”
From Frozen: “Let It Go”
From Her: “The Moon Song”
From The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug: “I See Fire”
From The Great Gatsby: “Young and Beautiful”
Alt: From Lee Daniels’ The Butler: “You and I Ain’t Nothing No More”
Sound Mixing
All Is Lost
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lone Survivor
Rush
Alt: Captain Phillips
Sound Editing
All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Lone Survivor
Rush
Alt: Frozen
Visual Effects
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
Pacific Rim
Star Trek Into Darkness
Alt: Elysium
Animated Feature
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises
Alt: The Croods
Foreign Language
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Notebook (Hungary)
Omar (Palestine)
Two Lives (Germany)
Alt: The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
Documentary Feature
20 Feet from Stardom
Blackfish
God Loves Uganda
The Square
Tim’s Vermeer
Alt: Cutie and the Boxer
Documentary Short
Jujitsu-ing Reality
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall
Recollections
Alt: Facing Fear
Animated Short
Get a Horse!
Gloria Victoria
Hollow Land
Mr. Hublot
Possessions
Alt: Feral
Live-Action Short
Kush
That Wasn’t Me
Throat Song
Two
The Voorman Problem
Alt: Helium