For your convenience, the commentary-free version of my Oscar guesses – all of these are “will win” not “I want to win.”

Best Picture
No Country for Old Men

Best Director
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

Best Actor
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood

Best Actress
Julie Christie, Away from Her

Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There

Best Adapted Screenplay
No Country for Old Men, by Joel & Ethan Coen

Best Original Screenplay
Juno, by Diablo Cody

Best Foreign Language Film
The Counterfeiters (Austria)

Best Animated Feature
Ratatouille

Best Documentary Feature
No End in Sight

Best Cinematography
No Country for Old Men

Best Editing
No Country for Old Men

Best Art Direction
Atonement

Best Costume Design
Atonement

Best Makeup
La Vie en Rose

Best Score
Atonement

Best Song
“Falling Slowly” from Once

Best Sound Mixing
Transformers

Best Sound Editing
Transformers

Best Visual Effects
Transformers

Best Animated Short
“My Love”

Best Live-Action Short
“Tanghi Argentini”

Best Documentary Short
“Sari’s Mother”